Jacksonville State hits the road for a Conference USA matchup against New Mexico State on Wednesday night at Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, New Mexico. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET.
The Gamecocks enter the contest with a 5-2 overall record and a 3-0 mark in conference play, relying heavily on the dual-threat capabilities of quarterback Caden Creel. Jacksonville State’s recent stretch has leaned heavily toward high-scoring affairs, with their last two games and four of their last five outings going over the total.
New Mexico State holds a 3-4 record as the Aggies look to maintain ground in the conference race under the direction of quarterback Trey Hedden.
Ahead of Wednesday’s game, oddsmakers have installed Jacksonville State as a 3-point favorite. The over/under for total points is set at 49.5. On the money line, Jacksonville State is priced at -155, while New Mexico State is listed at +132.
Computer simulations for the matchup point toward a higher-scoring encounter than the betting line suggests. Running 10,000 simulations of the contest, a prominent projection model forecasts 54 combined points, projecting the Over to hit in 61% of simulations. The model also indicates that one side of the point spread covers in well over 50% of simulated outcomes.
